Brazilian Serie A, round 34 · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)
Internacional — Coritiba
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Internacional are clear favourites: 68% against 12% for the opponent, draw 20%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Internacional are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
- Internacional are 96 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Internacional — No. 16, 32 pts; Coritiba — No. 11, 39 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Coritiba: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Internacional 2 wins, Coritiba 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Internacional — Coritiba What is xG? | 2.0–0.8 | |
| Internacional not to lose | 88% | |
| Coritiba not to lose | 32% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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- Handicap Internacional
- Internacional goals
- Coritiba goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Grêmio1:1
- 08.10Corinthians2:1
- 20.09away · São Paulo0:1
- 12.09away · Chapecoense2:1
- 06.09Santos2:3
- 12.10Botafogo1:1
- 09.10away · Fluminense0:4
- 20.09away · Vasco da Gama0:5
- 12.09Athletico Paranaense3:3
- 06.09Mirassol1:2
Head to head
- 09.05.2026Coritiba — Internacional2:2
- 30.10.2023Internacional — Coritiba3:4
- 23.06.2023Coritiba — Internacional0:1
- 24.10.2022Coritiba — Internacional1:1
- 25.06.2022Internacional — Coritiba3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Copa Sudamericana | São Paulo | 30 | 11 | 0 | 39 |
| 11, Copa Sudamericana | Coritiba | 30 | 10 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 30 | 9 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 30 | 8 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 | Internacional | 30 | 7 | -5 | 32 |
| 17, Relegation | Corinthians | 30 | 8 | -7 | 32 |
Brasileirao on the same day
- ChapecoenseMirassolpreliminary2628462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →