Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
Jeune Entente Toulousaine — Nîmes
Model prediction and result
0:4Came true
In short
Final score 0:4: the model's most likely outcome, Nîmes to win (63%), came true.
Nîmes are clear favourites: 63% against 16% for the opponent, draw 21%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Nîmes are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
- Nîmes are 201 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Jeune Entente Toulousaine — Nîmes What is xG? | 0.9–2.0 | |
| Jeune Entente Toulousaine not to lose | 37% | |
| Nîmes not to lose | 84% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
- 26.10away · Stade Beaucairois 302:3
- 06.01away · Orléans1:2
- 09.12away · Saint-Étienne1:0
- 19.11away · Roannais Foot 423:1
- 29.10away · Vauvert FC4:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →