Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Tuesday, 10 November, 03:00 (UTC+3)

Junior — Cúcuta

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Model prediction for 10 November

Junior63%

Draw22%

Cúcuta15%

Model estimate at 08:09 (UTC+3)

In short

Junior are clear favourites: 63% against 15% for the opponent, draw 22%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.

Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

By the strength ratings Junior are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Junior are 183 points higher on Elo.

Facts

League table: Junior — No. 16, 16 pts; Cúcuta — No. 11, 21 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
Days of rest before the match: Junior 9, Cúcuta 13.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Junior — Cúcuta What is xG?		2.0–0.9
Junior not to lose		85%
Cúcuta not to lose		37%
No draw		78%
Both teams to score: yes		53%
Both teams to score: no		47%
Total over 2.5		53%
Total under 2.5		47%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Junior
Junior goals
Cúcuta goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Junior	Cúcuta
Goals scored per match	1.5	1.3
Goals conceded per match	1.4	1.5
xG per match	1.56	0.93
Opponents’ xG	1.02	1.13
Shots	13.5	10.5
On target	4.4	4.1
Corners	4.0	4.1
Cards	2.3	2.7
Possession, %	51	44

Averages per match: Junior — the last 10, Cúcuta — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Junior

01.11away · Llaneros FC2:3
28.10away · Chicó FC1:1
24.10Águilas Doradas1:0
19.10away · Deportivo Cali0:0
15.10Deportivo Pereira1:1

Cúcuta

28.10Águilas Doradas0:2
25.10away · América de Cali1:3
21.10Atlético Nacional1:0
12.10away · Chicó FC1:0
05.10Deportivo Pereira4:0

Head to head

25.04.2026Cúcuta — Junior1:1

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026 (Clausura)
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
10	Tolima	17	6	5	6	21–20	+1	23
11	Cúcuta	16	6	3	7	18–24	-6	21
12	Internacional de Bogotá	17	4	8	5	21–23	-2	20
15	Deportivo Pereira	17	3	8	6	13–22	-9	17
16	Junior	17	3	7	7	23–27	-4	16
17	Chicó FC	17	4	4	9	13–28	-15	16

Season 2026 (Clausura)

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →