Polish Ekstraklasa, round 12 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Korona Kielce — GKS Katowice
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Korona Kielce are slightly stronger: 41% against 30%, draw 29%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Korona Kielce are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Korona Kielce — GKS Katowice What is xG? | 1.6–1.4 | |
| Korona Kielce not to lose | 70% | |
| GKS Katowice not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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- Handicap Korona Kielce
- Korona Kielce goals
- GKS Katowice goals
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Form
- 11.10away · Pogoń Szczecin0:2
- 19.09Raków Częstochowa3:2
- 15.09Górnik Zabrze0:2
- 12.09away · Śląsk Wrocław2:1
- 05.09Wisła Kraków1:1
- 12.10Wieczysta Kraków2:1
- 09.10away · Raków Częstochowa4:1
- 19.09Cracovia3:2
- 12.09away · Zagłębie Lubin1:2
- 04.09away · Piast Gliwice0:3
Head to head
- 25.04.2026Korona Kielce — GKS Katowice1:1
- 25.10.2025GKS Katowice — Korona Kielce1:0
- 05.05.2025Korona Kielce — GKS Katowice2:1
- 04.11.2024GKS Katowice — Korona Kielce1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Pogoń Szczecin | 9 | 5 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 10 | 6 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 | Wisła Kraków | 10 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Zagłębie Lubin | 10 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
Ekstraklasa on the same day
- Piast GliwiceCracoviapreliminary383131XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.6
- Pogoń SzczecinRadomiak Radompreliminary6124161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- Wisła KrakówRaków Częstochowapreliminary4828241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →