Polish Ekstraklasa, round 12 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Piast Gliwice — Cracovia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Piast Gliwice are slightly stronger: 38% against 31%, draw 31%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Piast Gliwice — Cracovia What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Piast Gliwice not to lose | 69% | |
| Cracovia not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Piast Gliwice
- Piast Gliwice goals
- Cracovia goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10Widzew Łódź2:1
- 20.09Pogoń Szczecin1:2
- 14.09away · Radomiak Radom2:0
- 04.09GKS Katowice3:0
- 29.08away · Motor Lublin2:0
- 10.10Zagłębie Lubin3:1
- 19.09away · GKS Katowice2:3
- 13.09away · Wisła Płock1:3
- 06.09Górnik Zabrze0:1
- 29.08away · Radomiak Radom1:2
Head to head
- 27.02.2026Cracovia — Piast Gliwice2:3
- 24.08.2025Piast Gliwice — Cracovia0:0
- 08.12.2024Piast Gliwice — Cracovia0:0
- 21.07.2024Cracovia — Piast Gliwice1:1
- 23.02.2024Piast Gliwice — Cracovia0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wisła Kraków | 10 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 9 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Wisła Płock | 9 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
Ekstraklasa on the same day
- Korona KielceGKS Katowicepreliminary4129301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- Pogoń SzczecinRadomiak Radompreliminary6124161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- Wisła KrakówRaków Częstochowapreliminary4828241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →