Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
Lafarge Limoges — Asmur
Model prediction and result
2:5Missed
In short
Final score 2:5: the model's most likely outcome, Lafarge Limoges to win (37%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 37% fails in about 63 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Lafarge Limoges 37%, Asmur 36%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Lafarge Limoges are 54 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lafarge Limoges — Asmur What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Lafarge Limoges not to lose | 64% | |
| Asmur not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →