La Liga, round 13 · Monday, 23 November, 23:00 (UTC+3)

Levante — Elche

Model prediction for 23 November

Levante39%

Draw28%

Elche33%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Levante 39%, Elche 33%, draw 28%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).

Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 61%.

Why

By the strength ratings Levante are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Levante are 70 points higher on Elo.

Facts

League table: Levante — No. 18, 10 pts; Elche — No. 17, 10 pts.
Last 5 meetings: Levante 3 wins, Elche 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Levante — Elche What is xG?		1.6–1.4
Levante not to lose		67%
Elche not to lose		61%
No draw		72%
Both teams to score: yes		61%
Both teams to score: no		39%
Total over 2.5		55%
Total under 2.5		45%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Levante
Levante goals
Elche goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Levante	Elche
Goals scored per match	1.6	1.6
Goals conceded per match	1.8	1.3
xG per match	1.45	1.58
Opponents’ xG	1.96	1.38
Shots	12.9	14.1
On target	4.7	4.9
Corners	3.8	5.1
Cards	1.6	2.8
Possession, %	43	54

Averages per match: Levante — the last 10, Elche — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Levante

31.10Atlético Madrid0:2
25.10away · Real Sociedad1:2
21.10Athletic Club3:1
16.10away · Deportivo A Coruña1:1
12.10Sevilla3:3

Elche

01.11Valencia0:1
27.10away · Atletico Pinatarense3:1
24.10away · Rayo Vallecano3:0
17.10away · Villarreal0:0
11.10Celta Vigo0:0

Head to head

23.01.2026Levante — Elche3:2
29.08.2025Elche — Levante2:0
10.05.2025Elche — Levante1:3
16.11.2024Levante — Elche1:1
24.03.2024Levante — Elche3:2

Full record: 10 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
16	Racing Santander	11	3	2	6	15–29	-14	11
17	Elche	11	2	4	5	14–18	-4	10
18, Relegation	Levante	11	2	4	5	16–21	-5	10
19, Relegation	Valencia	11	2	3	6	8–17	-9	9

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →