Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
Libourne — UA Niort St. Florent
Model prediction and result
1:1Missed
In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Libourne to win (49%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 49% fails in about 51 matches out of 100 on average.
Libourne are clear favourites: 49% against 25% for the opponent, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Libourne are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Libourne are 161 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Libourne — UA Niort St. Florent What is xG? | 1.6–1.1 | |
| Libourne not to lose | 75% | |
| UA Niort St. Florent not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
Form
- 07.01away · Bergerac Perigord1:2
- 09.12away · Villenave4:2
- 18.11away · La France d'Aizenay2:1
- 28.10Chatellerault3:0
- 15.10Stade Poitevin1:1
No past matches in the data yet.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →