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Primera Nacional, round 34 · Sunday, 18 October, (UTC+3) · Estadio Eduardo Gallardón

Los Andes — All Boys

Model prediction and result

1:1Missed
Los Andes50%
Draw32%
All Boys17%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Los Andes to win (50%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 50% fails in about 50 matches out of 100 on average.

Los Andes are clear favourites: 50% against 17% for the opponent, draw 32%.

1.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (1.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 28%, both teams to score — 29%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Los Andes are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
  • Los Andes are 91 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • All Boys: winless in 5.
  • Last 3 meetings: Los Andes 0 wins, All Boys 1, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Los Andes — All Boys What is xG?1.1–0.5
Los Andes not to lose83%
All Boys not to lose50%
No draw68%
Both teams to score: yes29%
Both teams to score: no71%
Total over 2.528%
Total under 2.572%

Match events

  1. 44′Mario Galeano · Los Andes
  2. 58′Facundo Villarreal · Los Andes1:0
  3. 74′Alejo Tabares · All Boys1:1
  4. 75′Franco Tisera · Los Andes
  5. 88′Hernán Grana · All Boys
Substitutions (10)
  1. 56′Franco Tisera ↔ Mario Galeano · Los Andes
  2. 56′Santiago Apa ↔ Matías Nouet · All Boys
  3. 61′Luciano Leguizamón ↔ Emiliano Purita · All Boys
  4. 61′Alexis Melo ↔ Gustavo Turraca · All Boys
  5. 68′Alex Valdez ↔ Facundo Villarreal · Los Andes
  6. 81′Alexis González ↔ Nazareno Fernández · Los Andes
  7. 81′Franco Rodriguez ↔ Matías González · Los Andes
  8. 82′Facundo Echevarría ↔ Juan Vázquez · Los Andes
  9. 94′Yago de Vito ↔ Lucas Cano · All Boys
  10. 94′Thiago Calone ↔ Nicolás Barrientos · All Boys

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

Los Andes

  1. GKSebastián López
  2. DFDaniel Alejandro Franco
  3. DFNazareno Fernández81′
  4. DFJulián Rodríguez
  5. DFGabriel Carrasco
  6. MFMatías González81′
  7. MFJuan Vázquez82′
  8. MFFacundo Villarreal68′
  9. MFGabriel Cañete
  10. FWMauricio Asenjo
  11. FWMario Galeano56′
Came on (5)
  1. FWFacundo Echevarría8′
  2. MFAlex Valdez22′
  3. DFAlexis González9′
  4. FWFranco Tisera34′
  5. MFFranco Rodriguez9′

All Boys

  1. GKJuan Noce
  2. DFAlejo Tabares
  3. DFFelipe Coronel
  4. DFFranco Quiroz
  5. DFHernán Grana
  6. MFNicolás Barrientos
  7. MFEmiliano Purita61′
  8. MFGabriel Ramírez
  9. MFGustavo Turraca61′
  10. FWLucas Cano
  11. FWMatías Nouet56′
Came on (3)
  1. MFAlexis Melo29′
  2. MFLuciano Leguizamón29′
  3. FWSantiago Apa34′

Form

Los Andes

  • 12.10away · Racing de Córdoba0:1
  • 05.10away · Godoy Cruz1:2
  • 27.09Deportivo Morón2:1
  • 20.09away · Colón0:3
  • 13.09CA San Miguel1:1

All Boys

  • 13.10Godoy Cruz0:0
  • 03.10away · Deportivo Morón1:2
  • 26.09Colón0:0
  • 19.09away · CA San Miguel1:1
  • 12.09San Telmo0:1

Head to head

  • 30.05.2026All Boys — Los Andes0:0
  • 07.10.2025All Boys — Los Andes3:0
  • 01.06.2025Los Andes — All Boys1:1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →