Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
Lourdes FC — Alberes Argeles
Model prediction and result
1:0Missed
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Alberes Argeles to win (41%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 41% fails in about 59 matches out of 100 on average.
Alberes Argeles are slightly stronger: 41% against 33%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lourdes FC — Alberes Argeles What is xG? | 1.3–1.5 | |
| Lourdes FC not to lose | 59% | |
| Alberes Argeles not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
- 28.10Auch Football0:0
- 30.10away · Hyeres2:2
- 15.10away · Salies Mane3:0
- 30.10away · Langlade Bernis0:0
- 16.11Pau0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →