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Paraguayan Primera Division · Tuesday, 10 November, (UTC+3)

Luqueño — 2 de Mayo

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Model prediction for 10 November

Luqueño33%
Draw30%
2 de Mayo36%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Evenly matched: Luqueño 33%, 2 de Mayo 36%, draw 30%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).

Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings 2 de Mayo are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
  • 2 de Mayo are 68 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • 2 de Mayo: winless in 4.
  • Last 5 meetings: Luqueño 1 win, 2 de Mayo 3, 1 draw.
  • Days of rest before the match: Luqueño 9, 2 de Mayo 7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Luqueño — 2 de Mayo What is xG?1.2–1.3
Luqueño not to lose64%
2 de Mayo not to lose67%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.548%
Total under 2.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Luqueño
  • Luqueño goals
  • 2 de Mayo goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatLuqueño2 de Mayo
Goals scored per match0.90.8
Goals conceded per match2.01.3
xG per match0.000.00
Opponents’ xG0.000.00
Shots13.812.0
On target4.93.0
Corners6.14.9
Cards2.03.1
Possession, %4851

Averages per match: Luqueño — the last 10, 2 de Mayo — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Luqueño

  • 01.11Nacional (PAR)0:3
  • 24.10away · Libertad0:1
  • 19.10Sportivo San Lorenzo3:2
  • 11.10Cerro Porteño0:3
  • 05.10away · Sportivo Trinidense2:3

2 de Mayo

  • 03.11Sportivo Trinidense0:0
  • 31.10away · Guaraní0:1
  • 25.10Recoleta1:1
  • 18.10away · Olimpia0:3
  • 12.10Sportivo Ameliano1:0

Head to head

  • 02.09.20262 de Mayo — Luqueño2:2
  • 23.03.2026Luqueño — 2 de Mayo0:2
  • 24.01.20262 de Mayo — Luqueño1:2
  • 03.10.2025Luqueño — 2 de Mayo0:3
  • 26.07.20252 de Mayo — Luqueño3:2

Full record: 11 meetings →

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →