Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
Marmande — Aviron Bayonnais FC
Model prediction and result
0:2Came true
In short
Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Aviron Bayonnais FC to win (38%), came true.
Evenly matched: Marmande 36%, Aviron Bayonnais FC 38%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Marmande — Aviron Bayonnais FC What is xG? | 1.3–1.4 | |
| Marmande not to lose | 62% | |
| Aviron Bayonnais FC not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
- 29.11Bassin d'Arcachon0:0
- 15.11away · Soustons3:2
- 25.10away · US Chasseneuil2:1
- 22.12Le Mans0:7
- 30.11Vierzon FC2:2
- 15.11away · Orléans0:3
- 25.10away · Bordeaux Saint-Jean14:0
- 16.11Pau1:3
- 26.10Lege Cap Ferret5:1
- 18.11away · Blagnac0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →