Botola Pro (Morocco), round 5 · Thursday, 29 October, (UTC+3) · Fez Stadium
MAS Fès — RS Berkane
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0:0Came true
In short
Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (34%), came true.
Evenly matched: MAS Fès 36%, RS Berkane 30%, draw 34%.
2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 43%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- MAS Fès are 67 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- RS Berkane: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: MAS Fès 0 wins, RS Berkane 4, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: MAS Fès — RS Berkane What is xG? | 1.1–0.9 | |
| MAS Fès not to lose | 70% | |
| RS Berkane not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 34% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 66% |
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Match events
- 47′Youssef Bennasser · RS Berkane
- 75′Oussama Noureddine · MAS Fès
- 82′Hamza Raji · RS Berkane
- 84′Diogo Calila · MAS Fès
Substitutions (8)
- 63′Tshegofatso John Mabasa ↔ Christopher Ibayi · MAS Fès
- 63′Khalid Baba ↔ Anas Tahiri · MAS Fès
- 69′Rayane Aabid ↔ Abdelghafour Lamirat · RS Berkane
- 69′Omar El Manssouri ↔ Youssef Mehri · RS Berkane
- 75′Hamza Afsal ↔ Anas El Mahraoui · MAS Fès
- 77′Hamza Raji ↔ Youssef Bennasser · RS Berkane
- 83′Mohamed Amine Essahel ↔ Mounir Chouiar · RS Berkane
- 90′Adam Brika ↔ Devin Titus · MAS Fès
Lineups
MAS Fès
- GKSalaheddine Chihab
- DFDiogo Calila
- DFAymane Chbani
- DFSalaheddine Ghedamsi
- DFAbdellah Khafifi
- MFAchraf Harmach
- MFOussama Noureddine
- MFAnas Tahiri63′
- FWAnas El Mahraoui75′
- FWDevin Titus
- FWChristopher Ibayi63′
Came on (3)
- FWTshegofatso John Mabasa27′
- MFKhalid Baba27′
- MFHamza Afsal15′
RS Berkane
- GKMunir
- DFIsmaël Kandouss
- DFJamal Harkass
- DFHaytam Manaout
- DFHamza El Moussaoui
- MFYoussef Bennasser77′
- MFAbdelghafour Lamirat69′
- MFYassine Labhiri
- FWMounir Chouiar83′
- FWOussama Lamlioui
- FWYoussef Mehri69′
Came on (4)
- MFRayane Aabid21′
- MFMohamed Amine Essahel7′
- MFHamza Raji13′
- FWOmar El Manssouri21′
Form
- 14.10away · Ittihad Tanger1:2
- 08.10Raja Casablanca0:0
- 03.10away · Hassania Agadir2:1
- 27.09Renaissance Club Zemamra2:1
- 05.07Olympique Dcheïra2:0
- 13.10Renaissance Club Zemamra2:2
- 08.10away · Union Touarga Sport0:0
- 27.09away · MAT Tetouan0:0
- 05.07away · Difaâ El Jadida3:1
- 02.07Wydad Casablanca2:0
Head to head
- 21.06.2026MAS Fès — RS Berkane1:2
- 05.04.2026RS Berkane — MAS Fès1:1
- 11.05.2025MAS Fès — RS Berkane1:3
- 22.12.2024RS Berkane — MAS Fès2:0
- 21.03.2024RS Berkane — MAS Fès2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Difaâ El Jadida | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | MAS Fès | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | FUS Rabat | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Union Touarga Sport | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | RS Berkane | 5 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Raja Casablanca | 5 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
Next matches
- Widad TemaraMAS Fès1 November · Botola Pro293337XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X1:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 1:1.2.0
- RS BerkaneRaja Casablanca1 November · Botola Pro4034271The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:1.1.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →