Botola Pro (Morocco), round 7 · Saturday, 7 November, 23:00 (UTC+3)

MAT Tetouan — CODM Meknès

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Model prediction for 7 November

MAT Tetouan27%

Draw31%

CODM Meknès42%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

In short

CODM Meknès are slightly stronger: 42% against 27%, draw 31%.

2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 40%.

Why

By the strength ratings CODM Meknès are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
CODM Meknès are 68 points higher on Elo.

Facts

League table: MAT Tetouan — No. 15, 3 pts; CODM Meknès — No. 2, 11 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
MAT Tetouan: 3 defeats in a row; CODM Meknès: unbeaten in 4.
Last 2 meetings: MAT Tetouan 0 wins, CODM Meknès 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: MAT Tetouan — CODM Meknès What is xG?		0.8–1.2
MAT Tetouan not to lose		58%
CODM Meknès not to lose		73%
No draw		69%
Both teams to score: yes		40%
Both teams to score: no		60%
Total over 2.5		34%
Total under 2.5		66%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap MAT Tetouan
MAT Tetouan goals
CODM Meknès goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	MAT Tetouan	CODM Meknès
Goals scored per match	0.2	1.5
Goals conceded per match	1.0	1.0
xG per match	0.00	0.00
Opponents’ xG	0.00	0.00
Shots	4.6	7.8
On target	2.0	3.5
Corners	2.4	3.4
Cards	1.4	2.5
Possession, %	38	51

Averages per match: MAT Tetouan — the last 5, CODM Meknès — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

MAT Tetouan

31.10away · Wydad Casablanca0:1
24.10Widad Temara0:3
17.10away · Difaâ El Jadida1:4
09.10FUS Rabat0:0
02.10away · Ittihad Tanger1:1

CODM Meknès

01.11FAR Rabat0:0
24.10away · US Amal Tiznit2:1
17.10Union Touarga Sport1:0
11.10away · Wydad Casablanca0:0
03.10KACM0:1

Head to head

17.01.2025CODM Meknès — MAT Tetouan1:0
29.09.2024MAT Tetouan — CODM Meknès1:1

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
1, CAF Champions League	KACM	6	4	1	1	8–5	+3	13
2, CAF Champions League	CODM Meknès	6	3	2	1	9–4	+5	11
3, CAF Confederation Cup	Wydad Casablanca	6	3	2	1	6–4	+2	11
14, Relegation play-off	US Amal Tiznit	6	1	1	4	6–12	-6	4
15, Relegation	MAT Tetouan	6	0	3	3	2–9	-7	3
16, Relegation	Renaissance Club Zemamra	6	0	1	5	5–12	-7	1

Season 2026/27

Full table

Botola Pro on the same day

19:00
KACMWydad Casablanca
393427
XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:01.9
21:00
MAS FèsFUS Rabat
503119
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:11.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →