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Botola Pro (Morocco), round 5 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3) · Saniat Rmel Stadium

MAT Tetouan — Widad Temara

Model prediction and result

0:3Missed
MAT Tetouan30%
Draw34%
Widad Temara35%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:3: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (34%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 34% fails in about 66 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: MAT Tetouan 30%, Widad Temara 35%, draw 34%.

1.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 32%, both teams to score — 40%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Widad Temara are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • MAT Tetouan: winless in 5; Widad Temara: 3 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Expected goals: MAT Tetouan — Widad Temara What is xG?0.9–1.0
MAT Tetouan not to lose65%
Widad Temara not to lose70%
No draw66%
Both teams to score: yes40%
Both teams to score: no60%
Total over 2.532%
Total under 2.568%

Match events

  1. 11′Diae-Eddine Eddaoudi · MAT Tetouan
  2. 59′Abdellah Cherrad · Widad Temara0:1
  3. 62′Akram Khouidssi · Widad Temara0:2
  4. 69′Akram Khouidssi · Widad Temara
  5. 81′Othman Sabri · Widad Temara0:3
  6. 96′Zakaria Labib · Widad Temara
Substitutions (8)
  1. 65′Badr Abbou ↔ Yassine Aboursas · MAT Tetouan
  2. 66′Issam Bouabsidi ↔ Anwar Oussarhan · MAT Tetouan
  3. 71′Ibrahima Sagna ↔ Oussama Essafi · Widad Temara
  4. 77′Mustapha El Crachna ↔ Hicham Zeghari · MAT Tetouan
  5. 77′Yassin Crachna ↔ Mohamed Kassou · MAT Tetouan
  6. 80′Othman Sabri ↔ Oussama Essabri · Widad Temara
  7. 80′Mohamed Babah ↔ Fahd El Kaaba · Widad Temara
  8. 88′Yassine Karraz ↔ Achraf Marzak · MAT Tetouan

Match statistics

MAT TetouanWidad Temara
  • 46Possession, %54
  • 6Shots8
  • 2On target5
  • 4Corners4
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

MAT Tetouan

  1. GKZakaria Benabbou
  2. DFSoulayman Driouech
  3. DFAchraf Marzak88′
  4. DFYassine Aboursas65′
  5. MFWissam Erbati
  6. MFHicham Zeghari77′
  7. MFMohamed Kassou77′
  8. MFMouad Karmoun
  9. FWDiae-Eddine Eddaoudi
  10. FWNadir El Fadili
  11. FWAnwar Oussarhan66′
Came on (5)
  1. DFIssam Bouabsidi24′
  2. MFYassin Crachna13′
  3. DFYassine Karraz2′
  4. MFMustapha El Crachna13′
  5. Badr Abbou25′

Widad Temara

  1. GKRabie Ajlid
  2. DFMohamed Belkaida
  3. DFNizar Cherki
  4. DFZakaria Labib
  5. MFAbdellah Cherrad
  6. MFRabiae Bounit
  7. MFFahd El Kaaba80′
  8. FWAkram Khouidssi
  9. FWOussama Essafi71′
  10. FWOussama Essabri80′
  11. FWZakaria Oulbenna
Came on (3)
  1. MFOthman Sabri10′
  2. MFIbrahima Sagna19′
  3. FWMohamed Babah10′

Form

MAT Tetouan

  • 17.10away · Difaâ El Jadida1:4
  • 09.10FUS Rabat0:0
  • 02.10away · Ittihad Tanger1:1
  • 27.09RS Berkane0:0
  • 11.05Salmi0:3

Widad Temara

  • 18.10KACM0:1
  • 08.10away · FAR Rabat0:1
  • 02.10Union Touarga Sport0:1
  • 26.09away · Wydad Casablanca3:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →