Ligue 1 (Côte d'Ivoire) · Friday, 23 October, (UTC+3)
Mouna — Zoman
Model prediction and result
1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Mouna to win (39%), came true.
Mouna are slightly stronger: 39% against 31%, draw 30%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Mouna are 140 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Mouna 1 win, Zoman 1, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mouna — Zoman What is xG? | 1.2–1.0 | |
| Mouna not to lose | 69% | |
| Zoman not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
Form
- 19.10away · Agboville1:0
- 11.10SOL0:1
- 06.10Yamoussoukro0:2
- 26.09away · Stade d'Abidjan0:0
- 24.05away · Korhogo2:1
- 18.10Stade d'Abidjan0:2
- 12.10away · Adiake2:1
- 05.10Korhogo1:1
- 27.09away · San Pedro1:0
- 24.05away · Stade d'Abidjan0:1
Head to head
- 05.05.2026Zoman — Mouna1:3
- 23.11.2025Mouna — Zoman2:2
- 30.03.2025Zoman — Mouna2:2
- 22.11.2024Mouna — Zoman1:2
- 27.04.2024Zoman — Mouna0:0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →