Copa del Rey · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Navalcarnero — Real Betis

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Model prediction for 28 October

Navalcarnero2%
Draw7%
Real Betis91%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Real Betis are clear favourites: 91% against 2% for the opponent, draw 7%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 4.1 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.

Over 2.5 goals — 77%, both teams to score — 40%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Real Betis are about 1.4 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Navalcarnero — Real Betis What is xG?0.5–3.6
Navalcarnero not to lose9%
Real Betis not to lose98%
No draw93%
Both teams to score: yes40%
Both teams to score: no60%
Total over 2.577%
Total under 2.523%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Navalcarnero
  • Navalcarnero goals
  • Real Betis goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Navalcarnero

  • 02.12Getafe2:3
  • 29.10Mérida2:1
  • 01.11Alcorcón0:1
  • 12.11Logroñés1:3
  • 28.01Granada0:6

Real Betis

  • 11.10Osasuna5:2
  • 20.09away · Deportivo A Coruña1:1
  • 17.09Getafe1:0
  • 14.09away · Villarreal2:1
  • 08.09away · Lille3:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Copa del Rey on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.6
  • Coruxo FCZamorapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
  • UteboSabadellpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
  • AlcoyanoMallorcapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 91% will not happen in roughly 9 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →