Copa del Rey, round 1 · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3) · Estadio Municipal Santo Domingo
Navalcarnero — Real Betis
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Real Betis are clear favourites: 91% against 2% for the opponent, draw 7%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 4.1 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 78%, both teams to score — 40%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Real Betis are about 1.4 goals per match stronger.
- Real Betis are 550 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Navalcarnero — Real Betis What is xG? | 0.5–3.6 | |
| Navalcarnero not to lose | 9% | |
| Real Betis not to lose | 98% | |
| No draw | 93% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 78% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 22% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Navalcarnero
- Navalcarnero goals
- Real Betis goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 91% will not happen in roughly 9 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →