PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

Primera Nacional, round 34 · Sunday, 18 October, (UTC+3) · Estadio República de Mataderos

Nueva Chicago — Gimnasia Jujuy

Model prediction and result

0:1Missed
Nueva Chicago38%
Draw31%
Gimnasia Jujuy31%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, Nueva Chicago to win (38%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 38% fails in about 62 matches out of 100 on average.

Nueva Chicago are slightly stronger: 38% against 31%, draw 31%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 2.3 in total, against a competition average of 1.9.

Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 50%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • Gimnasia Jujuy: winless in 4.
  • Last 3 meetings: Nueva Chicago 1 win, Gimnasia Jujuy 2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Nueva Chicago — Gimnasia Jujuy What is xG?1.2–1.1
Nueva Chicago not to lose69%
Gimnasia Jujuy not to lose62%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes50%
Both teams to score: no50%
Total over 2.543%
Total under 2.557%

Match events

  1. 32′Francisco Molina · Gimnasia Jujuy
  2. 69′Francisco Molina · Gimnasia Jujuy0:1
  3. 92′Franco Camargo · Gimnasia Jujuy
  4. 92′Bruno Palazzo · Nueva Chicago
  5. 96′Tomás Rodríguez · Nueva Chicago
Substitutions (9)
  1. 10′Diego Arroyo ↔ Guillermo Ferracutti · Nueva Chicago
  2. 62′Juan Franzoni ↔ Octavio Bianchi · Gimnasia Jujuy
  3. 62′Sebastián Cocimano ↔ Mauro Pérez · Nueva Chicago
  4. 62′Cristian Menéndez ↔ Federico Paradela · Gimnasia Jujuy
  5. 63′Diego Barros ↔ Thiago Ocampo · Nueva Chicago
  6. 72′Evelio Cardozo ↔ Lucas Ambrogio · Nueva Chicago
  7. 72′Claudio Pombo ↔ Francisco Molina · Gimnasia Jujuy
  8. 72′Nazareno Petrecca ↔ Gonzalo Trindade · Nueva Chicago
  9. 84′Delfor Minervino ↔ Mauro Cachi · Gimnasia Jujuy

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

Nueva Chicago

  1. GKFacundo Masuero
  2. DFGonzalo Trindade72′
  3. DFBruno Palazzo
  4. DFDylan Gissi
  5. DFGuillermo Ferracutti10′
  6. DFRomán Zalazar
  7. MFEnzo Roldán
  8. MFTomás Rodríguez
  9. FWLucas Ambrogio72′
  10. FWMauro Pérez62′
  11. FWThiago Ocampo63′
Came on (5)
  1. FWSebastián Cocimano28′
  2. MFEvelio Cardozo18′
  3. DFDiego Arroyo80′
  4. DFDiego Barros27′
  5. FWNazareno Petrecca18′

Gimnasia Jujuy

  1. GKMilton Álvarez
  2. DFNicolás Dematei
  3. DFFranco Camargo
  4. DFGuillermo Cosaro
  5. DFEmiliano Endrizzi
  6. MFFederico Paradela62′
  7. MFDavid Gallardo
  8. MFFrancisco Maidana
  9. MFFrancisco Molina72′
  10. FWOctavio Bianchi62′
  11. FWMauro Cachi84′
Came on (4)
  1. DFDelfor Minervino6′
  2. FWCristian Menéndez28′
  3. FWClaudio Pombo18′
  4. FWJuan Franzoni28′

Form

Nueva Chicago

  • 11.10away · Temperley1:2
  • 05.10Deportivo Maipú0:1
  • 27.09away · Almagro1:0
  • 22.09Patronato de Parana1:1
  • 12.09away · Colegiales0:1

Gimnasia Jujuy

  • 11.10Gimnasia y Tiro2:2
  • 03.10away · Temperley1:2
  • 28.09San Martín de Tucumán2:2
  • 20.09away · Deportivo Maipú1:1
  • 13.09Atlético Rafaela2:1

Head to head

  • 17.06.2026Gimnasia Jujuy — Nueva Chicago4:0
  • 14.09.2025Nueva Chicago — Gimnasia Jujuy1:0
  • 10.05.2025Gimnasia Jujuy — Nueva Chicago2:1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →