Copa del Rey · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Numancia — Real Oviedo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Real Oviedo are clear favourites: 67% against 13% for the opponent, draw 20%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Real Oviedo are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Numancia — Real Oviedo What is xG? | 0.9–2.2 | |
| Numancia not to lose | 33% | |
| Real Oviedo not to lose | 87% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Numancia
- Numancia goals
- Real Oviedo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 02.12Mallorca2:3
- 29.10Arenas Getxo3:0
- 30.10Sporting Gijón0:1
- 21.12Sporting Gijón0:3
- 13.11away · San Juan2:0
- 12.10Eibar3:1
- 02.10away · Eldense1:4
- 27.09Sporting Gijón2:0
- 20.09away · Sabadell1:3
- 13.09away · Real Valladolid3:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- Anaitasuna FTDeportivo Alavéspreliminary511842The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.6
- Coruxo FCZamorapreliminary2926442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Peña SportSD Huescapreliminary2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- PoblenseAD Ceuta FCpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- PortugaleteReal Uniónpreliminary4226321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- UteboSabadellpreliminary916752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
- AlcoyanoMallorcapreliminary1118712The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- SD AmorebietaLogroñéspreliminary5325221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →