Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
OC Cesson — Concarneau
Model prediction and result
2:4Came true
In short
Final score 2:4: the model's most likely outcome, Concarneau to win (64%), came true.
Concarneau are clear favourites: 64% against 15% for the opponent, draw 21%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Concarneau are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
- Concarneau are 204 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: OC Cesson — Concarneau What is xG? | 0.9–2.1 | |
| OC Cesson not to lose | 36% | |
| Concarneau not to lose | 85% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
Form
- 30.11away · Tours0:3
- 16.11Rennes TA2:2
- 27.10US Tregunc5:0
- 31.10away · Lannion1:3
- 31.01away · Dinan-Léhon0:1
- 21.12Nantes3:5
- 28.11Stade Briochin1:0
- 15.11away · Les Bleuets Le Pertre Brielles3:0
- 26.10away · Ginglin Cesson Saint Brieuc2:2
- 30.11away · Laval2:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →