Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
Paray — Jura Dolois
Model prediction and result
1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Paray to win (41%), came true.
Paray are slightly stronger: 41% against 32%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Paray are 91 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Paray — Jura Dolois What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| Paray not to lose | 68% | |
| Jura Dolois not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
- 16.11away · GFA Rumilly Vallières0:1
- 26.10away · FC Chalon1:1
- 18.11away · Mulhouse1:2
- 28.10away · FC Chalon1:1
- 29.10away · FCSR Haguenau0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →