Tanzania Premier League, round 9 · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Polisi Tanzania FC — Pamba Jiji
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Polisi Tanzania FC are clear favourites: 51% against 22% for the opponent, draw 27%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Polisi Tanzania FC are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Polisi Tanzania FC — No. 7, 10 pts; Pamba Jiji — No. 15, 4 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Polisi Tanzania FC — Pamba Jiji What is xG? | 1.7–1.1 | |
| Polisi Tanzania FC not to lose | 78% | |
| Pamba Jiji not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Polisi Tanzania FC
- Polisi Tanzania FC goals
- Pamba Jiji goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 08.10away · Mashujaa1:2
- 12.09Mbeya City2:0
- 06.09Coastal Union1:2
- 29.08away · Singida Black Stars2:4
- 25.08away · Dodoma Jiji FC1:0
- 08.10Geita Gold FC4:0
- 13.09TRA United1:3
- 05.09away · JKT Tanzania0:3
- 28.08away · Young Africans0:2
- 23.08away · Azam FC1:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dodoma Jiji FC | 7 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania FC | 7 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 | Mbeya City | 7 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 7 | 1 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Pamba Jiji | 7 | 1 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate FC | 7 | 1 | -8 | 4 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →