Liga MX (Mexico), round 11 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Estadio Corregidora
Querétaro FC — Atlante
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2:0Came true
In short
Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Querétaro FC to win (38%), came true.
Evenly matched: Querétaro FC 38%, Atlante 32%, draw 30%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Atlante are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Querétaro FC — Atlante What is xG? | 1.6–1.5 | |
| Querétaro FC not to lose | 68% | |
| Atlante not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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- Handicap Querétaro FC
- Querétaro FC goals
- Atlante goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 27.09away · Chivas2:0
- 21.09León1:1
- 12.09away · Tijuana1:0
- 30.08away · Atlas3:1
- 22.08Toluca1:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Liguilla (playoffs) | Toluca | 11 | 6 | +10 | 20 |
| 3, Liguilla (playoffs) | Querétaro FC | 10 | 6 | +7 | 20 |
| 4, Liguilla (playoffs) | Chivas | 11 | 5 | +7 | 19 |
| 15 | Atlético de San Luis | 11 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | Atlante | 11 | 2 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | -8 | 9 |
Next matches
- AtlantePumas17 October · Liga MX4228311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- Santos LagunaQuerétaro FC18 October · Liga MX3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
Liga MX on the same day
- 3727361The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:0.3.1
- 2428472The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:1.2.7
- 5625191The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:1.3.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →