Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
Racing Besançon — Saint-Vit
Model prediction and result
2:1Came true
In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Racing Besançon to win (43%), came true.
Racing Besançon are slightly stronger: 43% against 30%, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Racing Besançon are 114 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Racing Besançon — Saint-Vit What is xG? | 1.5–1.2 | |
| Racing Besançon not to lose | 70% | |
| Saint-Vit not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
- 29.11away · Freyming0:1
- 15.11Thionville Lusitanos4:0
- 26.10away · Haute Lizaine4:0
- 16.10ASM Belfort1:4
- 14.02Mâcon 710:1
No past matches in the data yet.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →