Raja Casablanca — Ittihad Tanger
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Raja Casablanca are clear favourites: 55% against 17% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Raja Casablanca are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
- Raja Casablanca are 147 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Raja Casablanca — No. 13, 6 pts; Ittihad Tanger — No. 4, 10 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Raja Casablanca: winless in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Raja Casablanca 2 wins, Ittihad Tanger 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Raja Casablanca — Ittihad Tanger What is xG? | 1.4–0.7 | |
| Raja Casablanca not to lose | 83% | |
| Ittihad Tanger not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Raja Casablanca
- Raja Casablanca goals
- Ittihad Tanger goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Raja Casablanca | Ittihad Tanger |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 8.1 | 8.1 |
| On target | 4.0 | 4.1 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 4.1 |
| Cards | 3.0 | 2.7 |
| Possession, % | 53 | 47 |
Form
- 01.11away · RS Berkane0:2
- 28.10Hassania Agadir1:1
- 13.10away · FUS Rabat1:1
- 08.10away · MAS Fès0:0
- 03.10Renaissance Club Zemamra1:0
- 01.11Renaissance Club Zemamra1:0
- 28.10away · FAR Rabat0:2
- 14.10MAS Fès2:1
- 10.10away · KACM1:2
- 02.10MAT Tetouan1:1
Head to head
- 28.06.2026Ittihad Tanger — Raja Casablanca1:1
- 23.02.2026Raja Casablanca — Ittihad Tanger2:0
- 23.01.2025Raja Casablanca — Ittihad Tanger1:1
- 25.09.2024Ittihad Tanger — Raja Casablanca3:1
- 28.05.2024Ittihad Tanger — Raja Casablanca1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, CAF Confederation Cup | Wydad Casablanca | 6 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 4 | Ittihad Tanger | 6 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 5 | Widad Temara | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 12 | RS Berkane | 5 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 13, Relegation play-off | Raja Casablanca | 5 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | US Amal Tiznit | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
Botola Pro on the same day
- 2831412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.2
- 6323141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →