Nigeria NPFL, round 10 · Wednesday, 18 November, (UTC+3)
Ranchers Bees — Doma United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ranchers Bees are clear favourites: 65% against 14% for the opponent, draw 21%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Ranchers Bees are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Ranchers Bees are 100 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Ranchers Bees — No. 19, 9 pts; Doma United — No. 12, 15 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Ranchers Bees: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ranchers Bees — Doma United What is xG? | 1.9–0.7 | |
| Ranchers Bees not to lose | 86% | |
| Doma United not to lose | 35% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
91 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Ranchers Bees
- Ranchers Bees goals
- Doma United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 01.11away · Inter Lagos1:1
- 16.10away · Shooting Stars1:3
- 10.10Niger Tornadoes0:0
- 04.10away · Kwara United1:2
- 28.09Rivers United FC0:0
- 31.10Ikorodu City2:2
- 17.10Kun Khalifat1:1
- 11.10away · Nasarawa United0:2
- 04.10Warri Wolves FC1:0
- 27.09away · Katsina United1:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sporting Lagos | 10 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 | Doma United | 10 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Ikorodu City | 11 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 18 | Abia Warriors | 11 | 2 | -7 | 10 |
| 19 | Ranchers Bees | 10 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 11 | 1 | -11 | 6 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →