Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
Reims Murigny FP — Thaon
Model prediction and result
1:9Came true
In short
Final score 1:9: the model's most likely outcome, Thaon to win (67%), came true.
Thaon are clear favourites: 67% against 13% for the opponent, draw 20%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Thaon are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
- Thaon are 225 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Reims Murigny FP — Thaon What is xG? | 0.9–2.2 | |
| Reims Murigny FP not to lose | 33% | |
| Thaon not to lose | 87% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
Form
- 15.01Strasbourg2:2
- 21.12Amiens2:1
- 01.12away · Lunéville4:0
- 16.11away · Sarre-Union2:0
- 26.10Bogny4:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →