Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
Roannais Foot 42 — Lyon La Duchere
Model prediction and result
0:1Came true
In short
Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, Lyon La Duchere to win (64%), came true.
Lyon La Duchere are clear favourites: 64% against 15% for the opponent, draw 21%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Lyon La Duchere are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
- Lyon La Duchere are 195 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Roannais Foot 42 — Lyon La Duchere What is xG? | 0.9–2.1 | |
| Roannais Foot 42 not to lose | 36% | |
| Lyon La Duchere not to lose | 85% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
Form
- 20.12Toulouse1:2
- 29.11Carnoux FC3:1
- 16.11away · Pierrelatte2:0
- 25.10away · ES Revermontoise10:1
- 06.01Le Puy1:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →