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Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)

Roeschwoog — ASC Biesheim

Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Roeschwoog31%
Draw27%
ASC Biesheim42%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, ASC Biesheim to win (42%), came true.

ASC Biesheim are slightly stronger: 42% against 31%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings ASC Biesheim are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Roeschwoog — ASC Biesheim What is xG?1.3–1.5
Roeschwoog not to lose58%
ASC Biesheim not to lose69%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

Form

Roeschwoog

No past matches in the data yet.

ASC Biesheim

  • 20.12Metz0:3
  • 29.11Red Star1:1
  • 15.11away · FCO Strasbourg Koenigshoffen3:2
  • 25.10away · FA Illkirch Graffenstaden0:0
  • 16.11away · Raon L Etape1:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →