Russian Premier League, round 12 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Rubin Kazan — Krylya Sovetov Samara
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rubin Kazan are slightly stronger: 39% against 30%, draw 32%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rubin Kazan are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Rubin Kazan — No. 8, 12 pts; Krylya Sovetov Samara — No. 9, 12 pts.
- Rubin Kazan: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Rubin Kazan 1 win, Krylya Sovetov Samara 2, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Rubin Kazan 13, Krylya Sovetov Samara 10.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rubin Kazan — Krylya Sovetov Samara What is xG? | 1.4–1.1 | |
| Rubin Kazan not to lose | 70% | |
| Krylya Sovetov Samara not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Rubin Kazan
- Rubin Kazan goals
- Krylya Sovetov Samara goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Dinamo Moscow0:1
- 16.09away · Rodina1:1
- 12.09away · CSKA Moscow1:1
- 07.09FK Akhmat1:1
- 02.09away · FC Orenburg1:1
- 14.10Baltika0:2
- 10.10Spartak Moscow1:1
- 16.09away · Lokomotiv Moscow1:1
- 11.09Rodina2:1
- 05.09FC Krasnodar2:2
Head to head
- 22.03.2026Krylya Sovetov Samara — Rubin Kazan0:0
- 04.10.2025Rubin Kazan — Krylya Sovetov Samara2:0
- 05.04.2025Krylya Sovetov Samara — Rubin Kazan1:1
- 13.09.2024Rubin Kazan — Krylya Sovetov Samara0:2
- 14.04.2024Krylya Sovetov Samara — Rubin Kazan2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Orenburg | 10 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 10 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 10 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 10 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
Russian Premier League on the same day
- Akron TogliattiDinamo Moscowpreliminary2129502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9
- FakelRodinapreliminary5030201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- FC KrasnodarBaltikapreliminary4631221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →