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Paraguayan Primera Division · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3) · Estadio La Arboleda

Rubio Ñú — Luqueño

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Model prediction for 6 November

Rubio Ñú51%
Draw28%
Luqueño21%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Rubio Ñú are clear favourites: 51% against 21% for the opponent, draw 28%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).

Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 54%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Rubio Ñú are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
  • Rubio Ñú are 151 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

  • Last 3 meetings: Rubio Ñú 1 win, Luqueño 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Rubio Ñú — Luqueño What is xG?1.5–1.0
Rubio Ñú not to lose79%
Luqueño not to lose49%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes54%
Both teams to score: no46%
Total over 2.548%
Total under 2.552%

Model vs market

The model and the market disagree: the model rates “Rubio Ñú to win” at 51%, the market at 44%.

  • Rubio Ñú to winModel51%odds 1.96Market44%odds 2.27
  • DrawModel28%odds 3.57Market28%odds 3.64
  • Luqueño to winModel21%odds 4.76Market28%odds 3.51
  • Total over 2.5Model48%odds 2.08Market44%odds 2.25
  • Total under 2.5Model52%odds 1.92Market56%odds 1.80
  • Both teams to score: yesModel54%odds 1.85Market50%odds 1.99
  • Both teams to score: noModel46%odds 2.17Market50%odds 2.01

Check your odds

Market — the probabilities in the bookmakers’ odds with their margin removed; odds — the fair price, 1 / probability. A comparison of two estimates, not betting advice.

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Rubio Ñú
  • Rubio Ñú goals
  • Luqueño goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatRubio ÑúLuqueño
Goals scored per match1.30.9
Goals conceded per match1.52.0
xG per match0.000.00
Opponents’ xG0.000.00
Shots14.913.8
On target4.54.9
Corners4.56.1
Cards2.52.0
Possession, %4248

Averages per match: Rubio Ñú — the last 10, Luqueño — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Last starting lineups

How the teams started their last match; the official lineups come about an hour before kick-off.

Rubio Ñú

  1. GKLautaro Maldonado
  2. DFBrian Blasi
  3. DFVíctor Cabañas
  4. DFPedro Álvarez
  5. DFJavier Vallejos (C)
  6. MFTobías Leiva
  7. MFCristian Nuñez
  8. MFMarcelo Acosta
  9. FWRodrigo Ruiz Díaz
  10. FWMauricio Roldán
  11. FWSergio Fretes
Bench (12)
  1. GKTomás Canteros
  2. MFWilliam Mendieta
  3. MFElías Alfonso
  4. DFMariano Ramos
  5. FWOctavio Alfonso
  6. MFAlan Ledesma
  7. DFRodi Ferreira
  8. MFRodrigo Rojas
  9. FWEstiven Pérez
  10. DFJorge González
  11. FWAaron Páez
  12. FWMauricio de Carvalho

Luqueño

  1. GKNicolás Campisi
  2. DFAlexis Cantero
  3. DFAleksandr Lomakin
  4. DFFernando Benítez
  5. DFFacundo Wiechniak
  6. MFGiovanni Bogado
  7. MFJonathan Ramos
  8. MFAldo Maíz
  9. MFMarcelo Ojeda
  10. FWWalter González (C)
  11. FWIván Maggi
Bench (12)
  1. MFTomás Muro
  2. MFSamuel Beltrán
  3. FWMarcelo Pérez
  4. FWKevin Pereira
  5. MFLautaro Comas
  6. DFJoaquín Paredes
  7. MFSebastián Maldonado
  8. GKAngel Espínola
  9. DFAxel Balbuena
  10. MFÁlvaro Martínez
  11. DFOliver López
  12. MFFernando Bobadilla

Form

Rubio Ñú

  • 31.10away · Sportivo Trinidense4:2
  • 23.10Guaraní0:2
  • 17.10away · Recoleta0:1
  • 11.10Olimpia0:0
  • 06.10away · Sportivo Ameliano2:1

Luqueño

  • 01.11Nacional (PAR)0:3
  • 24.10away · Libertad0:1
  • 19.10Sportivo San Lorenzo3:2
  • 11.10Cerro Porteño0:3
  • 05.10away · Sportivo Trinidense2:3

Head to head

  • 28.08.2026Luqueño — Rubio Ñú2:1
  • 03.05.2026Rubio Ñú — Luqueño0:0
  • 03.03.2026Luqueño — Rubio Ñú0:1

Full record: 3 meetings →

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →