International Friendlies · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)
Russia — Venezuela
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Russia are clear favourites: 55% against 18% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- National-team Elo: Russia 1778, Venezuela 1732 — Russia rated higher.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Russia — Venezuela What is xG? | 1.8–0.8 | |
| Russia not to lose | 82% | |
| Venezuela not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Russia
- Russia goals
- Venezuela goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →