Coupe de France, round 7 · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Saint Pauloise — Stade Tamponnaise
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Saint Pauloise 38%, Stade Tamponnaise 35%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Saint Pauloise are 70 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Saint Pauloise — Stade Tamponnaise What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Saint Pauloise not to lose | 65% | |
| Stade Tamponnaise not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Saint Pauloise
- Saint Pauloise goals
- Stade Tamponnaise goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 25.10St Pierroise JS3:0
- 19.11Saint-Denis FC2:3
- 07.01away · RC Pays de Grasse0:1
- 20.11CM Aubervilliers1:0
- 30.10away · St Pierroise JS0:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →