Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
Saint Pierre Milizac — Ergue Gaberic PD
Model prediction and result
2:1Missed
In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Ergue Gaberic PD to win (37%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 37% fails in about 63 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Saint Pierre Milizac 36%, Ergue Gaberic PD 37%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Saint Pierre Milizac — Ergue Gaberic PD What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Saint Pierre Milizac not to lose | 63% | |
| Ergue Gaberic PD not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
- 26.10Garde Saint-Ivy Pontivy2:2
- 16.11Dinan-Léhon1:1
- 27.10away · CEP Lorient1:0
- 07.02Dinan-Léhon1:1
- 31.01Lamballe1:1
- 09.12away · Dieppe0:2
- 19.11Saint-Renan3:1
- 29.10away · Rennes CPB Brequigny4:1
- 19.11Plabennec1:2
- 29.10away · Vitré0:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →