Copa del Rey, round 1 · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3) · Estadio El Helmántico
Salamanca CF UDS — Celta Vigo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 13 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Celta Vigo are clear favourites: 84% against 5% for the opponent, draw 11%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.1.
Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Celta Vigo are about 1.3 goals per match stronger.
- Celta Vigo are 408 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Salamanca CF UDS — Celta Vigo What is xG? | 0.6–3.0 | |
| Salamanca CF UDS not to lose | 16% | |
| Celta Vigo not to lose | 95% | |
| No draw | 89% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 70% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 30% |
175 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Salamanca CF UDS
- Salamanca CF UDS goals
- Celta Vigo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 31.10away · Rayo Vallecano0:3
- 25.10Real Betis0:0
- 22.10away · Celtic2:1
- 18.10Deportivo Alavés2:1
- 15.10Juventus1:2
Head to head
- 03.12.2024Salamanca CF UDS — Celta Vigo0:7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 84% will not happen in roughly 16 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →