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Primera Nacional, round 34 · Monday, 19 October, (UTC+3) · Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez

San Martín San Juan — Temperley

Model prediction and result

1:1Missed
San Martín San Juan42%
Draw31%
Temperley28%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, San Martín San Juan to win (42%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 42% fails in about 58 matches out of 100 on average.

San Martín San Juan are slightly stronger: 42% against 28%, draw 31%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (1.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 47%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • Last 3 meetings: San Martín San Juan 2 wins, Temperley 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: San Martín San Juan — Temperley What is xG?1.2–1.0
San Martín San Juan not to lose72%
Temperley not to lose58%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes47%
Both teams to score: no53%
Total over 2.540%
Total under 2.560%

Match events

  1. 10′Julián Marchio · San Martín San Juan
  2. 22′Adrián Arregui · Temperley
  3. 40′Gabriel Hauche · Temperley0:1
  4. 65′Nazareno Fúnez · San Martín San Juan1:1
  5. 91′Leonardo Monje · San Martín San Juan
Substitutions (10)
  1. 15′Emanuel Aguilera ↔ Federico Murillo · San Martín San Juan
  2. 46′Genaro Rossi ↔ Luciano Ferreyra · San Martín San Juan
  3. 62′León Trebotic ↔ Luciano Nieto · Temperley
  4. 62′Pedro Souto ↔ Franco Benítez · Temperley
  5. 69′Facundo Krüger ↔ Adrián Arregui · Temperley
  6. 80′Alejandro Melo ↔ Franco Díaz · Temperley
  7. 80′Lucas Richarte ↔ Lucas Angelini · Temperley
  8. 83′Ramiro Rúmbolo ↔ Hernán Zuliani · San Martín San Juan
  9. 83′Dante Álvarez ↔ Sebastián Jaurena · San Martín San Juan
  10. 89′Nicolás Pelaitay ↔ Diego Mercado · San Martín San Juan

Lineups

Minutes — how long the player played, if under 90; on the right — the player’s match rating.

San Martín San Juan

  1. GKSebastián Díaz
  2. DFJulián Marchio
  3. DFMauro Osores
  4. DFFederico Murillo15′
  5. DFHernán Zuliani83′
  6. DFFacundo Nadalín
  7. MFSebastián Jaurena83′
  8. MFLuciano Ferreyra46′
  9. MFLeonardo Monje
  10. MFDiego Mercado89′
  11. FWNazareno Fúnez
Came on (5)
  1. DFEmanuel Aguilera75′
  2. DFDante Álvarez7′
  3. FWGenaro Rossi44′
  4. MFNicolás Pelaitay1′
  5. FWRamiro Rúmbolo7′

Temperley

  1. GKEzequiel Mastrolía
  2. DFLucas Angelini80′
  3. DFValentín Aguiñagalde
  4. DFLorenzo Monti
  5. DFOswaldo Pacheco
  6. MFFranco Díaz80′
  7. MFAdrián Arregui69′
  8. MFLuciano Nieto62′
  9. MFFranco Benítez62′
  10. FWMarcos Echeverría
  11. FWGabriel Hauche
Came on (5)
  1. MFPedro Souto28′
  2. FWFacundo Krüger21′
  3. MFLucas Richarte10′
  4. FWAlejandro Melo10′
  5. MFLeón Trebotic28′

Form

San Martín San Juan

  • 11.10away · Deportivo Maipú1:1
  • 04.10Almagro1:2
  • 27.09away · Patronato de Parana0:3
  • 20.09Colegiales2:0
  • 16.09Tristán Suárez0:0

Temperley

  • 11.10Nueva Chicago2:1
  • 03.10Gimnasia Jujuy2:1
  • 27.09away · Deportivo Maipú0:1
  • 19.09Almagro3:1
  • 13.09away · Patronato de Parana0:0

Head to head

  • 31.05.2026Temperley — San Martín San Juan2:1
  • 26.08.2023Temperley — San Martín San Juan0:1
  • 16.04.2023San Martín San Juan — Temperley3:1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →