Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)
SCNA Derval — Le Poire Sur Vie
Model prediction and result
0:2Missed
In short
Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, SCNA Derval to win (39%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 39% fails in about 61 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: SCNA Derval 39%, Le Poire Sur Vie 34%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- SCNA Derval are 74 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: SCNA Derval — Le Poire Sur Vie What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| SCNA Derval not to lose | 66% | |
| Le Poire Sur Vie not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
- 19.11away · US Saint Philbert0:2
- 28.10Vendée Fontenay Foot0:0
- 30.10La Roche VF0:0
- 31.01away · Les Herbiers3:3
- 16.11away · Challans0:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →