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Coupe de France, round 6 · Saturday, 24 October, (UTC+3)

Seyssinet Pariset — La Tour Saint-Clair

Model prediction and result

7:1Came true
Seyssinet Pariset41%
Draw27%
La Tour Saint-Clair32%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 7:1: the model's most likely outcome, Seyssinet Pariset to win (41%), came true.

Seyssinet Pariset are slightly stronger: 41% against 32%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • Seyssinet Pariset are 89 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Seyssinet Pariset — La Tour Saint-Clair What is xG?1.5–1.3
Seyssinet Pariset not to lose68%
La Tour Saint-Clair not to lose59%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

Form

Seyssinet Pariset

  • 29.11Istres0:2
  • 15.11SC Aubagne Air Bel0:0
  • 25.10St Priest2:1
  • 06.02Annecy FC0:4
  • 31.01Sud Ardeche2:2

La Tour Saint-Clair

  • 15.10away · Tarentaise0:1
  • 30.10Lyon La Duchere1:6

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →