Belarusian Premier League · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Slavia Mozyr — Zhodino

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Model prediction for 25 October

Slavia Mozyr37%
Draw29%
Zhodino34%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Slavia Mozyr 37%, Zhodino 34%, draw 29%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • League table: Slavia Mozyr — No. 10, 25 pts; Zhodino — No. 9, 30 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Slavia Mozyr: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Slavia Mozyr 1 win, Zhodino 3, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Slavia Mozyr — Zhodino What is xG?1.2–1.1
Slavia Mozyr not to lose66%
Zhodino not to lose63%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes49%
Both teams to score: no51%
Total over 2.542%
Total under 2.558%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Slavia Mozyr
  • Slavia Mozyr goals
  • Zhodino goals
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Form

Slavia Mozyr

  • 10.10away · BATE1:2
  • 19.09Naftan0:1
  • 11.09away · FC Minsk0:1
  • 04.09Vitebsk3:0
  • 29.08away · Neman0:1

Zhodino

  • 10.10away · FC Minsk1:0
  • 20.09away · Vitebsk0:6
  • 12.09away · Neman0:1
  • 05.09FC Gomel1:2
  • 30.08away · Arsenal Dzerzhinsk4:2

Head to head

  • 14.06.2026Zhodino — Slavia Mozyr1:1
  • 18.10.2025Zhodino — Slavia Mozyr3:2
  • 20.05.2025Slavia Mozyr — Zhodino1:0
  • 01.12.2024Slavia Mozyr — Zhodino0:2
  • 05.07.2024Zhodino — Slavia Mozyr3:0

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
8FC Minsk241041030–29+134
9Zhodino2386929–29030
10Slavia Mozyr23671024–28-425
11Baranovici24671124–41-1725

Season 2026

Full table

Belarusian Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →