Peruvian Liga 1 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Sport Huancayo — Universitario
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Universitario are slightly stronger: 41% against 31%, draw 27%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Universitario are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Universitario are 57 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Universitario: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Sport Huancayo 0 wins, Universitario 3, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sport Huancayo — Universitario What is xG? | 1.4–1.6 | |
| Sport Huancayo not to lose | 59% | |
| Universitario not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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- Handicap Sport Huancayo
- Sport Huancayo goals
- Universitario goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Sport Huancayo | Universitario |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 22.8 | 15.2 |
| On target | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Corners | 6.3 | 5.6 |
| Cards | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| Possession, % | 52 | 51 |
Form
- 02.11Melgar2:0
- 27.10away · ADC Juan Pablo II0:2
- 24.10Alianza Atlético4:1
- 16.10Cusco FC2:1
- 10.10away · Deportivo Garcilaso1:0
- 01.11away · Atlético Grau3:1
- 25.10ADC Juan Pablo II3:0
- 18.10away · Alianza Atlético4:1
- 11.10Melgar2:2
- 20.09away · Deportivo Garcilaso0:4
Head to head
- 31.05.2026Universitario — Sport Huancayo2:1
- 17.08.2025Sport Huancayo — Universitario1:1
- 29.03.2025Universitario — Sport Huancayo3:1
- 11.08.2024Sport Huancayo — Universitario1:1
- 02.03.2024Universitario — Sport Huancayo2:0
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- Alianza LimaFC Cajamarcapreliminary87941The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →