Peruvian Liga 1 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Sporting Cristal — Comerciantes Unidos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Sporting Cristal are clear favourites: 74% against 10% for the opponent, draw 16%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sporting Cristal are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Sporting Cristal: 4 wins in a row; Comerciantes Unidos: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Sporting Cristal 4 wins, Comerciantes Unidos 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sporting Cristal — Comerciantes Unidos What is xG? | 2.3–0.8 | |
| Sporting Cristal not to lose | 90% | |
| Comerciantes Unidos not to lose | 26% | |
| No draw | 84% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sporting Cristal
- Sporting Cristal goals
- Comerciantes Unidos goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · CD UT Cajamarca1:0
- 19.09Atlético Grau3:1
- 13.09away · Club Deportivo Moquegua2:1
- 06.09Los Chankas5:0
- 30.08away · Sport Boys0:1
- 10.10ADC Juan Pablo II1:1
- 18.09away · Alianza Atlético1:2
- 12.09Sport Huancayo0:1
- 06.09away · Universitario de Deportes2:2
- 28.08FC Cajamarca2:3
Head to head
- 25.04.2026Comerciantes Unidos — Sporting Cristal1:0
- 01.11.2025Comerciantes Unidos — Sporting Cristal1:4
- 29.06.2025Sporting Cristal — Comerciantes Unidos2:0
- 03.11.2024Sporting Cristal — Comerciantes Unidos3:0
- 25.05.2024Comerciantes Unidos — Sporting Cristal0:1
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- 721991The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
- 4528271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →