Nigeria NPFL, round 12 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Sporting Lagos — Rivers United FC
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In short
Sporting Lagos are slightly stronger: 44% against 26%, draw 30%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Sporting Lagos — No. 11, 15 pts; Rivers United FC — No. 1, 18 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Rivers United FC: winless in 4.
- Last 2 meetings: Sporting Lagos 1 win, Rivers United FC 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sporting Lagos — Rivers United FC What is xG? | 1.3–0.9 | |
| Sporting Lagos not to lose | 74% | |
| Rivers United FC not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 38% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 62% |
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- All totals
- Handicap Sporting Lagos
- Sporting Lagos goals
- Rivers United FC goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
Form
- 01.11away · Katsina United1:2
- 18.10away · Plateau United3:2
- 11.10Bendel Insurance2:1
- 03.10away · Kano Pillars1:1
- 30.09Ikorodu City0:0
- 01.11Enugu Rangers1:1
- 25.10away · Bendel Insurance1:2
- 19.10Barau0:0
- 11.10away · Abia Warriors0:0
- 04.10Ikorodu City2:0
Head to head
- 26.05.2024Rivers United FC — Sporting Lagos4:1
- 14.02.2024Sporting Lagos — Rivers United FC1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rivers United FC | 11 | 4 | +10 | 18 |
| 2 | Enugu Rangers | 9 | 5 | +5 | 18 |
| 10 | Shooting Stars | 11 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 | Sporting Lagos | 10 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 12 | Doma United | 10 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →