Belgian Pro League, round 11 · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Standard Liège — SK Beveren
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Standard Liège are clear favourites: 55% against 21% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Standard Liège are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
- Standard Liège are 215 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Standard Liège — No. 9, 11 pts; SK Beveren — No. 11, 9 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Standard Liège 4 wins, SK Beveren 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Standard Liège — SK Beveren What is xG? | 1.9–1.0 | |
| Standard Liège not to lose | 79% | |
| SK Beveren not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Standard Liège
- Standard Liège goals
- SK Beveren goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 16.10FCV Dender EH2:0
- 11.10Sporting Charleroi0:1
- 18.09away · Gent1:2
- 12.09away · Westerlo2:4
- 05.09Royal Antwerp1:0
- 16.10Habay La Neuve3:0
- 09.10Lommel1:3
- 20.09away · Kortrijk0:1
- 12.09St.Truiden2:0
- 06.09OH Leuven3:0
Head to head
- 28.10.2025SK Beveren — Standard Liège1:2
- 11.01.2021Standard Liège — SK Beveren3:1
- 17.08.2020SK Beveren — Standard Liège1:2
- 21.12.2019SK Beveren — Standard Liège2:1
- 30.10.2019Standard Liège — SK Beveren2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Zulte Waregem | 8 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Standard Liège | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Lommel | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | SK Beveren | 8 | 3 | -6 | 9 |
| 12 | St.Truiden | 8 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →