Uzbekistan Super League, round 28 · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)
Surkhon-2011 — Andijon
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Surkhon-2011 are slightly stronger: 39% against 27%, draw 34%.
The model expects few goals: 2.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Surkhon-2011 are 87 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Surkhon-2011 — No. 12, 30 pts; Andijon — No. 10, 31 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Surkhon-2011: unbeaten in 5; Andijon: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Surkhon-2011 — Andijon What is xG? | 1.1–0.9 | |
| Surkhon-2011 not to lose | 73% | |
| Andijon not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Surkhon-2011
- Surkhon-2011 goals
- Andijon goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 31.10Nasaf Qarshi1:1
- 23.10away · Buxoro0:0
- 16.10Xorazm0:0
- 10.10away · Qizilqum Zarafshon0:0
- 20.09Kokand 19121:0
- 31.10away · Navbahor Namangan0:1
- 25.10away · Dinamo Samarkand1:1
- 15.10Qizilqum Zarafshon0:1
- 09.10away · Buxoro2:3
- 20.09Nasaf Qarshi1:4
Head to head
- 18.07.2026Andijon — Surkhon-20111:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Dinamo Samarkand | 26 | 9 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Andijon | 26 | 9 | -4 | 31 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 26 | 8 | -7 | 30 |
| 12 | Surkhon-2011 | 26 | 7 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor Tashkent | 25 | 8 | -15 | 26 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →