A-League Men (Australia), round 4 · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)
Sydney FC — Central Coast Mariners
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 6 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sydney FC are clear favourites: 58% against 18% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sydney FC are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
- Sydney FC are 130 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Sydney FC: winless in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Sydney FC 3 wins, Central Coast Mariners 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sydney FC — Central Coast Mariners What is xG? | 1.9–1.0 | |
| Sydney FC not to lose | 82% | |
| Central Coast Mariners not to lose | 42% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sydney FC
- Sydney FC goals
- Central Coast Mariners goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 16.10Western Sydney Wanderers FC0:0
- 23.05away · Auckland FC0:1
- 16.05away · Newcastle Jets1:1
- 09.05Newcastle Jets1:1
- 02.05away · Melbourne Victory1:0
- 25.04away · Newcastle Jets0:4
- 19.04away · Auckland FC1:0
- 10.04Brisbane Roar FC2:2
- 07.04away · Melbourne City FC1:2
- 04.04Perth Glory2:2
Head to head
- 06.12.2025Central Coast Mariners — Sydney FC1:2
- 25.10.2025Sydney FC — Central Coast Mariners2:0
- 11.01.2025Sydney FC — Central Coast Mariners4:1
- 08.12.2024Central Coast Mariners — Sydney FC2:1
- 18.05.2024Central Coast Mariners — Sydney FC0:0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →