Ligue 1 (Côte d'Ivoire) · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)
Tchologo — Stade d'Abidjan
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1:1Missed
In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Stade d'Abidjan to win (48%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 48% fails in about 52 matches out of 100 on average.
Stade d'Abidjan are clear favourites: 48% against 25% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Stade d'Abidjan are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Tchologo: winless in 5; Stade d'Abidjan: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 2 meetings: Tchologo 1 win, Stade d'Abidjan 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tchologo — Stade d'Abidjan What is xG? | 0.9–1.4 | |
| Tchologo not to lose | 52% | |
| Stade d'Abidjan not to lose | 75% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
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- Handicap Tchologo
- Tchologo goals
- Stade d'Abidjan goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 20.10away · Adiake0:0
- 12.10away · Korhogo3:3
- 04.10San Pedro0:2
- 27.09ISCA0:0
- 24.05away · Agboville0:0
Head to head
- 26.04.2026Tchologo — Stade d'Abidjan2:1
- 16.11.2025Stade d'Abidjan — Tchologo1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Agboville | 5 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 3 | Stade d'Abidjan | 5 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 4 | Yamoussoukro | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Adiake | 5 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Tchologo | 5 | 0 | -2 | 4 |
| 15, Relegation | Bouake | 4 | 1 | -4 | 3 |
Ivory Coast Ligue 1 on the same day
- 233741XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X1:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:0.1.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →