Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Monday, 26 October, MSK
Técnico Universitario — Mushuc Runa
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Técnico Universitario 36%, Mushuc Runa 34%, draw 29%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Mushuc Runa: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Técnico Universitario 1 win, Mushuc Runa 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Técnico Universitario — Mushuc Runa What is xG? | 1.3–1.3 | |
| Técnico Universitario not to lose | 66% | |
| Mushuc Runa not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Técnico Universitario
- Técnico Universitario goals
- Mushuc Runa goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Manta0:1
- 20.09Delfín1:1
- 13.09away · Leones del Norte1:0
- 05.09LDU de Quito1:3
- 02.09away · Delfín0:1
- 09.10away · Delfín2:3
- 21.09away · Deportivo Cuenca1:1
- 13.09away · Guayaquil City1:3
- 08.09Leones del Norte1:1
- 02.09away · LDU de Quito0:0
Head to head
- 10.08.2026Técnico Universitario — Mushuc Runa0:3
- 18.04.2026Mushuc Runa — Técnico Universitario1:0
- 22.11.2025Mushuc Runa — Técnico Universitario1:0
- 01.11.2025Técnico Universitario — Mushuc Runa0:0
- 27.07.2025Mushuc Runa — Técnico Universitario0:1
LigaPro Serie A on the same day
- AucasBarcelona SCpreliminary4130281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →