Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Monday, 26 October, MSK
Aucas — Barcelona SC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Aucas are slightly stronger: 41% against 28%, draw 30%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Aucas: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Aucas 1 win, Barcelona SC 1, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Aucas — Barcelona SC What is xG? | 1.3–1.1 | |
| Aucas not to lose | 72% | |
| Barcelona SC not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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Form
- 10.10away · Independiente del Valle1:2
- 19.09CSD Macará1:2
- 12.09away · Manta0:0
- 07.09Barcelona SC1:1
- 03.09away · Universidad Católica (ECU)1:1
- 12.10away · LDU de Quito1:2
- 14.09Delfín1:1
- 07.09away · Aucas1:1
- 03.09Independiente del Valle2:1
- 30.08away · Manta0:2
Head to head
- 07.09.2026Aucas — Barcelona SC1:1
- 17.05.2026Barcelona SC — Aucas3:0
- 28.09.2025Barcelona SC — Aucas1:1
- 02.06.2025Aucas — Barcelona SC2:0
- 02.11.2024Aucas — Barcelona SC1:1
LigaPro Serie A on the same day
- Técnico UniversitarioMushuc Runapreliminary362934XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →