Tanzania Premier League, round 10 · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

TRA United — Geita Gold FC

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 29 October

TRA United49%
Draw29%
Geita Gold FC23%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

TRA United are clear favourites: 49% against 23% for the opponent, draw 29%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).

Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings TRA United are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: TRA United — No. 13, 6 pts; Geita Gold FC — No. 12, 7 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Geita Gold FC: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 2 meetings: TRA United 0 wins, Geita Gold FC 0, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: TRA United — Geita Gold FC What is xG?1.4–0.9
TRA United not to lose77%
Geita Gold FC not to lose51%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes49%
Both teams to score: no51%
Total over 2.544%
Total under 2.556%

91 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap TRA United
  • TRA United goals
  • Geita Gold FC goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

TRA United

  • 08.10away · Namungo FC0:1
  • 13.09away · Pamba Jiji3:1
  • 04.09Mbeya City0:0
  • 29.08Dodoma Jiji FC0:1
  • 24.08away · Coastal Union1:1

Geita Gold FC

  • 08.10away · Pamba Jiji0:4
  • 15.09away · Young Africans0:1
  • 31.08away · Simba SC0:2
  • 28.08Azam FC2:2
  • 22.08Kagera Sugar6:2

Head to head

  • 21.04.2024TRA United — Geita Gold FC0:0
  • 06.11.2023Geita Gold FC — TRA United0:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
11Namungo FC83057–11-49
12Geita Gold FC72149–12-37
13TRA United71336–7-16
14Kagera Sugar71248–15-75

Season 2026/27

Full table

Tanzania Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →